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American Journal of Preventive Medicine

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match American Journal of Preventive Medicine's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Drug decriminalization and population mental distress: evidence from Oregon and Washington

Allegrini, F.; Sonno, T.

2026-08-11 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.10.26360079 medRxiv
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In February 2021, Oregon became the first US state to decriminalize possession of small amounts of all commonly used illicit drugs (Measure 110); twenty-four days later, Washington's Supreme Court Blake ruling produced a weaker, shorter-lived decriminalization. Evaluations of these policy periods have focused on overdose deaths, with contested results; their association with the mental health of the general population is unknown. Using surveillance data on 6.3 million adult interviews (2011-2024) and synthetic control methods with permutation inference, we find frequent mental distress an estimated 2.15 percentage points higher in Oregon than in its synthetic counterfactual (largest positive gap among 45 jurisdictions; two-sided rank 2/45, p = 0.044, though not significant under the alternative fit-normalized statistic), with directionally consistent estimates in Washington and a joint test on the pair at p = 0.015. The increase concentrates in self-reported distress, among women and young adults, and is not mirrored in diagnoses, police-recorded partner violence or suicide.

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State-level trends in urban-rural differences in cigarette smoking in the United States

Ulm, C.; Golden, S. D.; Hill, F.; Wiesen, C. A.; Mills, S. D.

2026-08-10 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.06.26359850 medRxiv
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Introduction Smoking prevalence remains higher in rural than in urban populations in the United States. To examine recent trends, we assessed state-level differences in cigarette smoking between urban and rural areas from 2018 to 2024. Methods Using repeated cross-sectional data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, we estimated state-specific logistic regression models to examine the relationship between urban-rural county residence and cigarette smoking. Unadjusted models (model 1) included urban-rural county status and year. Subsequent models (model 2) added age, sex, and race/ethnicity. A final model (model 3) included education and an interaction term between urban-rural county status and year to examine whether gaps in urban-rural smoking changed over time. In states with significant interactions, simple effects tests compared trends for urban-rural groups separately. Results Compared to urban adults, rural adults had higher unadjusted odds of cigarette smoking (odds ratio [OR] range:1.07-1.88) in 88.4% (38/43) of states. Adjusting for demographic covariates (model 2) increased the proportion of states with significant marginal effects of rurality to 90.7% (ORs:1.09-1.87). A final model that also controlled for education (model 3) decreased the proportion of states with significant marginal effects of rurality to 60.5% (ORs:1.10-1.54). Among the 14 states with significant interaction terms, the odds of smoking declined faster among urban than rural residents. Conclusion Urban-rural differences in smoking persist across most states. No state showed a reduction in urban-rural disparities over time, and the urban-rural gap widened in 14 states. Demographic variation accounted for some, but not the majority, of observed urban-rural differences.

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Tobacco Associated Disease Claims and ICD 10 F17 Tobacco Dependence Coding Among Psychiatric Patients in Indonesia National Health Insurance Dataset: A Retrospective Claims-Based Observational Study, 2015 2023

Natalia, A.; johan, a.

2026-07-07 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.06.25.26356584 medRxiv
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Objectives To compare hospital claims and costs for major tobacco associated diseases with ICD 10 F17 tobacco dependence coding in Indonesian national health insurance claims and to assess whether the insurer records tobacco addiction or mainly pays for its complications. Design Retrospective claims based observational study using routinely collected administrative claims reported according to STROBE and the RECORD extension. Setting Indonesian national health insurance scheme Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional including referral hospital and primary care claims from 2015 to 2023. Participants A national mental health claims sample of 54820 members with at least one ICD 10 mental or behavioral F code diagnosis weighted to 1032022 members and 2074277 referral hospital visits. Primary and secondary outcome measures The primary outcome was verified claim costs in USD for hospital visits with a primary diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease J44 or tracheal bronchial or lung cancer C33 to C34 or ischemic heart disease I20 to I25 or stroke I60 to I69. Secondary outcomes were counts of ICD 10 F17 tobacco dependence coding and the disease to F17 coding ratio. Results The four tobacco associated disease groups accounted for 13946 visits among 5223 patients and USD 4.20 million in verified costs representing 6.0 percent of hospital spending in the sample. Weighted costs were USD 74.7 million of which cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease accounted for 95 percent. F17 appeared in only 51 referral hospital encounters and 26 primary care encounters. Only 2 of 5223 patients with these tobacco associated diseases or 0.04 percent were ever coded with F17. Conclusions The Indonesian national insurer paid substantially for tobacco associated morbidity while tobacco dependence was almost never coded. Smoking related diseases were reimbursed but tobacco dependence treatment was not captured as a financed care target. Embedding brief cessation care reimbursable pharmacotherapy and routine F17 coding into primary care could help shift tobacco related expenditure from downstream complications toward addiction care. Keywords tobacco dependence smoking cessation F17 coding health expenditure administrative claims Indonesia

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Racial differences in lifetime healthcare costs associated with obesity-related multimorbidity among the U.S. population aged 40 years or older

Zanwar, P. P.; Wang, M.; Logan, N.; Chang, S.-H.

2026-08-11 health economics 10.64898/2026.08.09.26360041 medRxiv
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Introduction: Research has documented that obesity and morbidity are associated. Black persons in the United States (U.S.) incur higher financial costs of obesity-related multimorbidity (ORM). However, lifetime healthcare costs (LHCs) remain underexamined for these populations. Objective: We quantified racial differences in 1) LHCs and 2) lifetime healthcare cost differential (LCD) associated with ORM for ages > 40 years. Methods: We used the 2008- 2012 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Household Component to examine unique obesity-related diseases (ORDs): high blood sugar, hypertension, coronary heart disease, and stroke. We used a prior published Markov model to simulate a person's life history of ORDs and compute LHCs among ages > 40 years. We computed LCD-associated ORM as the difference in LHC for those with ORM and LHC for members without ORDs. We quantified differences in race as the difference between LHC or LCD among White and Black men and women. Results: Our analytic sample included 53,035 Black and White persons representing 97,229,611 (S.E., 2,104,365), 12.4% as Black and 87.6% as White persons. ORM was more prevalent in the Black (21.2%) than the White group (13.4%). LHCs by race (Black/White) for women/men with ORM and LCDs associated with ORM (2012$) were $3 1,035/43,595 and $11,350/26,948 for age 40-49, $2 1,567/25,6 115 and $3,846/9,808 for 50-59, $9,863/18,515 and -$2,566/7,426 for 60-69, -$8,220/16,285 and -$11,524/3,865 for 70-79. Conclusions: Racial Differences in LHCs and LCDs related to ORM persist and vary across subpopulations. Future interventions designed to prevent/manage ORM are crucial for prioritizing populations with high LHCs and advancing health equity.

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Visible Immigration Enforcement Arrests and Mental Health Among Hispanic Adults in the United States

Aslim, E.; Tekin, D.; Venkataramani, A.

2026-07-04 public and global health 10.64898/2026.07.02.26357125 medRxiv
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Objectives: To assess whether higher state-level community-based U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) arrest rates are associated with adverse mental health outcomes among Hispanic and non-Hispanic adults in the United States. Design: Retrospective analysis using individual-level data from the 2023 and 2024 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) linked to monthly state-level ICE arrest records from the Deportation Data Project. Two-way fixed effects models assessed associations between mental health outcomes and ICE arrests, net of secular trends, state-specific time invariant factors, and individual covariates. Setting/participants: The sample included 534,099 US adults aged 18 years or older residing in all 50 states and the District of Columbia surveyed between September 2023 and December 2024. Analyses exploited within-state month-to-month variation in enforcement intensity with state and year-month fixed effects. Outcome measures: Number of poor mental health days in the past 30 days; any poor mental health days (binary); mental health status (3-level categorical); frequent mental distress ([&ge;]14 poor mental health days); and a composite indicator combining depressive disorder diagnosis with frequent mental distress. Results: Among 534,099 respondents (approximately 10% Hispanic), higher ICE arrest rates were significantly associated with worse mental health among Hispanic adults, including 0.19 additional poor mental health days per month (p < 0.05), a 2.2% higher likelihood of reporting any poor mental health days (p < 0.01), and a 2.4% increase in composite mental health problems (p < 0.01). Associations were concentrated among Hispanic women and those with a high school diploma or less. Among non-Hispanic adults, estimates were small and precisely centered around zero across outcomes. Similar findings obtained in difference-in-differences event study models, models including lagged exposures, and models with leave-one-out state exclusions. Conclusion: Higher community-based immigration enforcement was associated with worse mental health outcomes among Hispanic adults but not among non-Hispanic adults. Contemporary enforcement strategies may have broader psychological spillover effects within Hispanic communities, and mental health may be an underrecognized social cost of interior immigration enforcement.

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Disability, Chronic Pain, and Opioid Use Disorder Treatment Disparities: A National Cohort Analysis from the All of Us Research Program

Williams, J.; Osweiler, B. W.; Siriprakorn, J. P.; Marotta, P. L.

2026-08-11 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.09.26359632 medRxiv
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Background: People with disabilities (PWD) represent over one-quarter of the US population and disproportionately experience chronic pain, yet limited research explores disparities they face in opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment. Objective: To examine disparities across disability status regarding opioid use disorder (OUD)-related outcomes and understand how chronic pain interacts with these associations. Methods: We completed a cross-sectional, secondary analysis of data from the All of Us Research Program, including 370,722 adults with electronic health record data available between January 2021-September 2023. We identified prevalence of disability, chronic pain, OUD, receipt of medications for OUD (MOUD), and OUD remission using diagnostic codes. We performed interaction analyses between chronic pain, disability subtype, and MOUD receipt in affecting OUD outcomes. Results: OUD was more common among individuals with physical (aOR: 2.74, 95% CI: 2.54-2.95), cognitive (2.19, 1.94-2.45), and multiple disabilities (2.43, 2.19-2.68), compared to those without disabilities. Among patients with OUD, those with physical disabilities were less likely to receive MOUD (0.81, 0.69-0.94). Compared to those without disabilities, chronic pain was associated with higher probabilities of OUD diagnosis and lower probabilities of MOUD and OUD remission across all subjects. These relationships were stronger for OUD diagnosis in cognitive disabilities, MOUD in multiple disabilities, and OUD remission in physical disabilities. Conclusions: Disability and chronic pain jointly shape disparities in OUD treatment and underscore the urgent need for care models that integrate OUD treatment with pain management and address the unique access challenges faced by people with disabilities.

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Forecasting U.S. 12-Month-Ending Overdose Death Counts: Multi-Model National and Regional Projections

Alhassan, F.; Karami, H.; Bohler, R.; Fung, I. C.-H.; Mamelund, S.-E.; Lee, S.; Peterson, E.; Chowell, G.

2026-08-05 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.03.26359533 medRxiv
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Aims: To assess whether recent declines in U.S. rolling 12-month-ending drug overdose death counts are projected to continue, compare the retrospective performance of short-term forecasting models, and estimate national and regional 12-month changes. Design: Comparative time-series forecasting study with a retrospective March 2025-February 2026 forecast evaluation and subsequent 12-month-ahead projections through February 2027. Setting: United States and four U.S. Census regions: Northeast, Midwest, South, and West. Cases: Aggregate drug overdose deaths reported in the National Center for Health Statistics Vital Statistics Rapid Release system (VSRR) and identified using ICD-10 underlying cause-of-death codes X40-X44, X60-X64, X85, and Y10-Y14. Measurements: The primary outcome was the monthly series of rolling 12-month-ending overdose deaths. Candidate models included ARIMA, generalized additive models, Prophet, and AICc-ranked n-sub-epidemic models. Models were calibrated using January 2020-February 2025 data and evaluated against March 2025-February 2026 observations using mean absolute error, mean squared error, empirical 95% prediction interval coverage, and weighted interval score (WIS). Individual models were ranked by retrospective WIS, and normalized inverse-WIS weights were used to construct ensembles from the top-ranked models. Final forecasts were generated for March 2026-February 2027 after recalibrating models using January 2020-February 2026 data. Results: Retrospective WIS performance differed geographically: GAM performed best nationally and in the Midwest and West, the leading n-sub-epidemic model in the Northeast, and ARIMA in the South. Median forecasts from all individual models and ensembles projected declines from February 2026 to February 2027 nationally and in each region, although prediction intervals varied substantially. Individual national median projections ranged from declines of 12.8% to 25.8%, while weighted-ensemble median projections indicated declines of 20.5% to 21.7%. Projected weighted-ensemble declines were larger in the Northeast (25.4%-30.0%) and Midwest (24.3%-26.3%) than in the South (16.6%-19.5%) and West (18.0%-21.8%). Summary: Ensemble forecasts of the reported provisional VSRR series were consistent with continued declines in rolling annual overdose death counts nationally and across U.S. Census regions. The projected magnitude of decline differed by region and model specification. Because the forecasts used provisional rolling 12-month-ending counts, they should be interpreted as surveillance projections rather than exact monthly mortality predictions.

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Impact of Connecticut's 2021 Repeal of Religious Vaccine Exemptions on Kindergarten Vaccine Coverage

Benzaken, C. L.; Ganem, J. M.; Araujo, B. L.; Aparicio-Llorente, C.; Oliva, I.; Wats, A. L.; Hijano, D. R.; Oliveira, C. R.

2026-06-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.19.26356105 medRxiv
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Importance: Religious vaccine exemptions remain central to debates over school-entry immunization mandates, but evidence on exemption repeal outside outbreak-driven policy responses and across communities with different religious contexts remains limited. Objective: To estimate changes in kindergarten vaccination coverage associated with Connecticut's 2021 repeal of religious vaccine exemptions, examine variation by school type and local religious congregation density, and compare trends with states that retained exemptions. Design/Setting/Participants: Interrupted time series analysis using kindergarten vaccination data from 2012-2025. Vaccine coverage trends in Connecticut were compared to Arizona, Louisiana, and Oregon, which retained religious exemptions during the study period. Intervention: The intervention studied was Public Act 21-6, which eliminated religious vaccine exemptions from school-entry immunization requirements. Main Outcomes and Measures: Outcomes included annual coverage for measles-mumps-rubella (MMR), varicella, diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (DTaP), polio, and hepatitis B vaccines. Models estimated pre-policy trends, immediate level changes, and post-policy slope changes. Analyses were stratified by public and private schools and by county-level religious congregation density. Results: Before policy implementation, kindergarten vaccination coverage in Connecticut declined across all vaccines by 0.16-0.20% per year (p < 0.001). Repeal of the religious exemptions occurred during a period of increasing religious congregation density and was associated with improved school-entry vaccination coverage, with annual coverage increasing 0.88-1.02% per year (p < 0.001). Coverage increased in both public and private schools, with larger post-policy gains in private schools. Coverage increases did not differ significantly between high- and low-religiosity counties. In segmented regression analyses, Connecticut's post-policy MMR slope was significantly higher than those of Arizona, Oregon, and Louisiana by 1.36, 1.71, and 1.15 percentage points per year, respectively (p < 0.001). By 2024/25, Connecticut MMR coverage reached 98.2%, exceeding coverage in comparison states by 5.6-9.6%. Cumulatively, the model-estimated policy impact represented an estimated 2,579 additional kindergarteners immunized against MMR compared with the no-policy counterfactual. Conclusions and Relevance: Connecticut's repeal of religious vaccine exemptions was associated with increases in kindergarten vaccination coverage across public and private schools, independent of local religious congregation density. These findings suggest that removal of religious vaccine exemptions may be an effective policy approach to improve childhood immunization coverage.

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When Cuts Cost More: Projected Fiscal Impact of Eliminating the AIDS Drug Assistance Program in 30 US States

Forster, R. M.; Schnure, M.; Balasubramanian, R.; Jones, J. L.; Hyle, E. P.; Batey, S.; Althoff, K. N.; Gebo, K.; Dowdy, D.; Shah, M.; Fojo, A. T.; Kasaie, P.

2026-07-28 health economics 10.64898/2026.07.27.26359045 medRxiv
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Across 30 US states and the District of Columbia, eliminating the AIDS Drug Assistance Program is projected to save $6.45 billion in direct costs while generating $14.89 billion in downstream HIV care costs attributable to excess incident infections from 2026-2035. Costs are projected to surpass savings within six years.

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Alcohol Consumption Patterns and Sociodemographic Correlates Among US Adults with Cardiovascular Disease: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of All of Us and NHANES

yang, q.; yu, j.; zhao, h.; zou, m.; sun, y.

2026-06-09 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355052 medRxiv
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This cross-sectional study aimed to examine the prevalence of alcohol use and its sociodemographic correlates among adults with cardiovascular disease (CVD). We analyzed data from two large US cohorts: the All of Us Research Program (2017-2023) and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2016). Both CVD diagnosis and past-year alcohol consumption were self-reported. Risky drinking was defined as exceeding moderate drinking or binge drinking (All of Us), or moderate/heavy drinking (NHANES). Multivariable logistic regression was used to exam associations with sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. Among 32,788 current drinkers with CVD in the All of Us cohort, 15% exceeded moderate drinking thresholds and 26% reported binge drinking. Older age, female sex, and higher socioeconomic status were inversely associated with risky drinking, while smoking was positively associated. In NHANES, moderate drinking rose from 47.3% to 57.2% and heavy drinking from 6.7% to 7.2%. Moderate/heavy drinking was positively associated with age <65 but inversely with age [&ge;]65. Higher education and income were linked to moderate drinking, while current smoking was strongly associated with heavy drinking. These results highlight the need to integrate holistic screening for alcohol use, tobacco use, and social context into routine cardiovascular care.

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The Effects of Social Isolation, Loneliness, and Nicotine Product Use: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Evidence Update

Pascoe, R.; Saliba, C.; Kundu, A.; Hoque, S.; Milory, A.; Schwartz, R.; Chaiton, M.

2026-08-10 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.07.26359989 medRxiv
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Background: Loneliness and social isolation may contribute to tobacco and nicotine use, but existing studies have been inconsistent. This systematic review and meta-analysis examined these associations among adults amid the evolving nicotine product landscape. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, and CINAHL identified peer-reviewed quantitative studies published between 2014 and 2025 searched in February-April 2026. Eligible studies included adults aged [&ge;]18 years examining loneliness and/or social isolation in relation to smoking or nicotine use. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias (using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute risk of bias tool). Random effects meta-analyses were conducted to estimate pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results: 22 studies involving 273,954 participants met inclusion criteria, and 14 studies were included in the meta-analysis. A majority of the studies had low risk of bias. Meta-analysis findings showed that social isolation or loneliness was associated with significantly higher odds of nicotine product use (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.48-2.29). Although no statistically significant association of nicotine product use and social isolation or loneliness (OR 1.35, 95% CI 0.72-2.53), some studies suggested bidirectional relationships, with smoking contributing to reduced social support and greater isolation over time. Sensitivity analysis showed the robustness of the meta-analysis findings. Subgroup analysis found no statistically significant differences were seen between subgroups defined by type of nicotine product, age groups, social isolation vs loneliness, measures of nicotine use behaviours and pre- vs post- COVID-19 pandemic period in the meta-regression. Limitations of included studies and analysis are discussed. Conclusions: Loneliness and social isolation are significant psychosocial correlates of nicotine product use. Cessation interventions may benefit from integrating social support and mental health strategies alongside traditional nicotine dependence treatment.

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Preference for Blood-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening in the Black Community

Li, R.; Jackson, T. M.; Onyekaba, J.; He, Y.; Njoku, K.; Amadi, C.; Chandora, A.; Santori, D. O.; Gundroo, H.; Tobun, T.; Smith, C.; Hommes, D.; Luevano, J.; Liu, J.

2026-07-24 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.07.22.26358691 medRxiv
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Background: Blood-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is a novel, less invasive screening that has the potential to improve CRC screening adherence, particularly among Black American populations, which has historically lower screening rates. We evaluated factors associated with preference for blood-based CRC screening among Black adults in church-based community settings. Methods: From October 2023 to January 2024, a cross-sectional survey was conducted over 101 adults aged 45 to 75 years at three Black churches in metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia. Demographics, CRC screening history, healthcare access, and attitudes toward blood-based CRC screening were assessed. Results: Overall, 72 participants (71.3%) preferred blood-based CRC screening. Preference was not associated with demographic or socioeconomic characteristics, screening history, or healthcare access. The most commonly reported reasons for ease of testing (83.3%), avoidance of stool collection (38.9%), avoidance of bowel preparation (36.1%), perceived fewer side effects (34.7%), and perceived lower risk (33.3%). Needle concerns were the only factor significantly associated with non-preference (p=0.034). Conclusion: Blood-based colorectal cancer screening was preferred by most Black adults and may improve CRC screening participation through greater convenience.

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A Preliminary Study of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation for Cannabis Use Disorder and Its Effects on Concurrent Tobacco Use

Wada, M.; Petersen, N.; Wong, B.; Kim, B.; Kim, J. P.; Clark, A. M.; Durazzo, T.; Sahlem, G.

2026-08-10 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.06.26359887 medRxiv
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Objectives: Tobacco and cannabis co-use is common, and reductions in one substance may theoretically lead to compensatory increases in the other. This secondary analysis examined whether cannabis cue-induced dorsolateral prefrontal cortex repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (DLPFC-rTMS) affects tobacco consumption among tobacco-using individuals with cannabis use disorder (CUD). Methods: Data were analyzed from a randomized, sham-controlled trial of DLPFC-rTMS for CUD. Participants were treatment-seeking adults with moderate or severe CUD who reported baseline tobacco use. Active or sham 10-Hz DLPFC-rTMS was delivered during cannabis cue exposure over 10 treatment visits. Linear mixed-effects models examined group differences in weekly percentage change from baseline in tobacco consumption over treatment and follow-up, adjusting for baseline tobacco consumption. Additional models examined whether changes in cannabis use were associated with changes in tobacco use. Results: Twenty participants were included, with 10 assigned to active rTMS and 10 to sham. Active rTMS was associated with a greater reduction in tobacco consumption than sham at 1-week post-treatment (t = -2.49, p = 0.015). Changes in cannabis use were not significantly associated with group differences in tobacco reduction. Estimated group differences did not indicate compensatory increases in tobacco use among participants with larger reductions in cannabis use. Conclusions: Cannabis cue-induced DLPFC-rTMS was associated with a short-term reduction in tobacco consumption relative to sham among tobacco-using individuals with CUD. These preliminary findings suggest possible cross-substance effects of DLPFC-rTMS and did not indicate compensatory tobacco increases. Larger trials specifically designed for cannabis-tobacco co-use are warranted.

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Nicotine pouch, electronic cigarette and tobacco use and generalised anxiety among adolescents

Ruokolainen, O.; Berg, N.; Helenius, J.; Ollila, H.; Kiviruusu, O.

2026-08-07 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.05.26359767 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Anxiety remains prevalent among adolescents while tobacco and nicotine product use, especially the recent increases of novel product use such as e-cigarettes and nicotine pouches, raises further public health concerns. The associations between novel tobacco and nicotine product use and anxiety remains understudied. This study aims to determine whether tobacco and nicotine product use is associated with generalised anxiety and whether this association differs by used product. Design: Cross-sectional survey, School Health Promotion study in 2025. Setting: A school-based nationwide survey conducted in all Finnish lower and upper secondary schools. Participants: Students aged 13-20 years in three school levels: 8.-9. grade students in lower secondary schools (N= 94 743, 73% of the students), 1st and 2nd-year students in general upper secondary schools (n=47 248, 70% of the students) and of vocational institutions (n=24 998, 38% of the students). Measurements: Exclusive (single product) and non-exclusive ([&ge;]1 products) daily or weekly use of tobacco and nicotine products, including nicotine pouches, e-cigarettes, cigarettes, and smokeless tobacco (snus). Generalised anxiety was measured using the Generalised Anxiety Disorder Scale (GAD-7). The cut-off of >10 points indicated participants with moderate to severe self-reported generalised anxiety symptoms. Background variables included sociodemographic variables and heavy drinking. Results: Of the 166,989 participants 51.4% were females, mean age was 15.7 (SD 1.27), 21.2% reported generalised anxiety. Prevalence of generalised anxiety increased gradient-wise in accordance with both non-exclusive and exclusive use frequency of different tobacco and nicotine products, as well as with number of products used. Daily use of nicotine pouches was associated with higher odds of anxiety compared with never use (boys: adjusted odds ratios (aOR) 1.19, 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.34; girls: aOR 1.74, 95% CI, 1.58 to 1.91), yet the association between daily e-cigarette use seemed to be stronger (boys aOR 1.96, 95% CI, 1.54 to 2.49; girls: aOR 2.29, 95% CI, 2.09 to 2.51). Summary: Any use of tobacco and nicotine products, including new products, is associated with generalised anxiety among adolescents, with some differences between products. Measures to prevent the initiation of tobacco and nicotine product use and to promote mental health among adolescents should be enacted.

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Gaps Between Willingness and Uptake of Influenza and COVID-19 Vaccines During the 2025-26 Respiratory Virus Season in a U.S. Adult Cohort

Sanborn, J.; Robertson, M.; Penrose, K.; Rane, M. S.; Piltch-Loeb, R.; Parcesepe, A.; Nash, D.

2026-07-19 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358235 medRxiv
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During the 2025-26 respiratory virus season, changes to COVID-19 vaccine eligibility, recommendations, and communication may have made vaccination follow-through especially challenging. Under-vaccination may reflect not only lack of willingness, but also breakdowns between willingness and uptake. We analyzed data from 3,390 adults in the CHASING COVID Cohort who completed assessments in August 2025 and March 2026 to examine gaps between vaccine willingness and subsequent influenza and COVID-19 vaccination. Vaccine willingness was defined using prior-season vaccination and stated intention to vaccinate during the 2025-26 respiratory virus season. In August 2025, 73% of participants were influenza vaccine willing and 68% were COVID-19 vaccine willing. Among vaccine-willing participants, 17% and 39% were unvaccinated for influenza and COVID-19, respectively, by March 2026. Absence of prior-season vaccination was the strongest predictor of not vaccinating for influenza and COVID-19, respectively (aRR [95% CI]: 4.04 [3.44-4.74]; 3.01 [2.72-3.34]). Non-vaccination was also associated with food insecurity (1.99 [1.66-2.37]; 1.47 [1.33-1.63]), any healthcare barrier (1.89 [1.57-2.28]; 1.51 [1.36-1.67]), and being not at all confident in vaccine safety (2.95 [2.15-4.05]; 2.21 [1.88-2.59]). Trajectory analyses suggested willingness-uptake gaps reflected incomplete follow-through on intentions and discontinuation among some prior vaccinators. Commonly reported reasons among vaccine-willing non-vaccinators included difficulty finding a convenient time, place, or appointment and, for COVID-19, lack of healthcare provider recommendation. Findings among non-vaccinated adults with prior or stated openness to vaccinate highlight missed opportunities and suggest avenues to improve coverage through strategies that reinforce vaccine confidence, reduce access and logistical barriers, and make vaccination easier to complete.

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County Year Informatics Model for Annual and Cumulative Unique Lung Cancer Screening Eligibility in Maryland, 2026 to 2045

Adebamowo, C.; Adebamowo, S. N.

2026-06-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.15.26355716 medRxiv
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Purpose: Population-level lung cancer screening programs require denominators that reflect age, smoking history, geography, and changing eligibility over time. We estimated annual prevalent and 20-year cumulative unique low-dose computed tomography screening eligibility for Maryland residents under alternative screening criteria. Methods: We built a deterministic cohort-cell stock-flow simulation using Maryland county-equivalent jurisdiction projections by age, sex, and race/ethnicity, with ACS socioeconomic/nativity covariates and smoking-history priors for ever-smoked status, pack-years, and quit-years. Scenarios included USPSTF 2013 legacy, USPSTF 2021, ACS 2023/2024, a risk-model-expanded sensitivity, and ever-smoked-only capacity stress tests. Cumulative unique eligibility counted people once at first eligibility rather than summing annual prevalent person-years. Results: Under USPSTF 2021, an estimated 238,346 Maryland residents were eligible in 2026 and 245,326 in 2045. The 20-year cumulative unique denominator was 768,668, whereas naively summing annual prevalent counts produced 4,850,735 person-years, a 6.31-fold overcount. ACS 2023/2024 expanded annual eligibility to 314,616 in 2026 and cumulative unique eligibility to 902,796 by adding remote former smokers. Ever-smoked-only adult eligibility was 1,957,699 in 2026 and 3,383,683 cumulative unique over 20 years. Conclusion: A Maryland statewide screening initiative should plan from cumulative unique eligibility and county-equivalent jurisdiction-specific burden rather than annual prevalence alone. Explicit pack-year and quit-year modeling materially changes statewide and county allocation compared with current-smoking proxy models.

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Recent cannabis use and self-rated health in young and middle-aged adults: a propensity score-weighted analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)

Diep, C.; Rosenbloom, B.; Goel, A.; Bosma, R.; Wijeysundera, D.; Clarke, H.; Ladha, K.

2026-08-23 public and global health 10.64898/2026.08.20.26360898 medRxiv
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Introduction: Self-rated health is an important patient-centred measure of health. The relationship between cannabis use and self-rated health has been previously studied, although with methodologic concerns which we aimed to address in this investigation. Methods: Propensity score weighted analyses of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2009-2018 were conducted. The primary exposure was self-reported cannabis use in the 30 days prior to survey response. The primary outcome was self-rated health measured on a five-level ordinal scale. Secondary outcomes included the number of days in the past months with: i) poor physical health, ii) poor mental health, and iii) activity limitations related to poor health. A weighted proportional odds regression model was used for the primary analysis and weighted zero-inflated negative binomial regression models were used for each secondary analysis. Results: Among 22,055 adults aged 20-59 responding to the NHANES cannabis questionnaire, 14.4% endorsed use in the past 30 days. After reweighting the sample to balance cannabis users and non-users across sociodemographic, medical, and lifestyle characteristics, there was no statistically significant association between recent cannabis use and higher levels of self-rated health (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.80-1.01). Cannabis use was associated with poor mental health and activity limitations in the past month, but not poor physical health. Conclusions: Recent cannabis use was not associated with self-rated health but was associated with poor mental health and activity limitations in the past month. Cannabis users at risk of poor mental health should be connected with clinicians to help guide therapy.

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Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Oral and Vaporized Δ9-Tetrahydrocannabinol in Older Adults

Costa, G. P. A.; Asnes, S.; Meyerovich, J.; Eid, T.; Nadim, H.; Dwy, S.; Gueorguieva, R.; Riggs, M. M.; Sofuoglu, M.; Matthews, S.; Nunes, J. C.; De Aquino, J. P.

2026-08-21 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.18.26360706 medRxiv
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Adults aged [&ge;]65 years are increasingly using cannabis products. However, controlled pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic data on {Delta}9-tetrahydrocannabinol (THC) in this population are sparse, and remain limited to oral/oromucosal formulations. To characterize the acute pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic effects of oral and vaporized THC in healthy adults aged [&ge;]65, we conducted a two-arm, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in which 20 participants (mean age 70.0, SD: 5.1 years) received oral (placebo, 5 mg, or 10 mg) or vaporized THC (placebo, 2 mg, or 4 mg) across three eight-hour sessions separated by [&ge;]72 hours. Outcomes included plasma pharmacokinetics, subjective drug effects, reinforcement value, cognitive performance, heart rate (HR), blood pressure (BP), and adverse events (AEs). Oral THC was associated with delayed, lower THC exposure (Tmax 60-90 min; Cmax 2.6-6.2 ng/mL), with 11-OH-THC concentrations approximately matching parent-THC; slow-rising subjective effects; no change in reinforcement value; no significant change in HR or BP; and no AEs. Vaporized THC was associated with rapid, THC-dominant exposure (Tmax 3 min; Cmax 24.6-53.8 ng/mL) and minimal 11-OH-THC concentrations; rapid-onset subjective effects; increased reinforcement value at 4 mg; and significant HR elevation peaking within 5 min, without significant BP change. Cognitive performance did not differ from placebo at any oral or vaporized THC dose. At vaporized THC 4 mg, two participants experienced five AEs. Oral and vaporized THC produce route-specific pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profiles in adults aged [&ge;]65, including an increase in reinforcement value only after vaporization, and should therefore not be treated as interchangeable in risk assessment for older adults.

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Digital Health Misinformation and HPV Vaccine Awareness Among U.S. Adults: A National HINTS Analysis

Gao, J.; Windett, J. H.; Ademu, L. O.; Li, Z.; Idris, M. A.; Griffin, B. C.; Zhang, Y.; Radford, B. J.

2026-06-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.19.26356030 medRxiv
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Background Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is an effective cancer prevention strategy, yet HPV vaccine awareness remains uneven across sociodemographic groups. In the current digital information environment, awareness may be shaped not only by access to health information but also by exposure to false or misleading health information, difficulty evaluating information accuracy, and echo-chamber dynamics on social media. Objective This study examined associations between perceived exposure to false or misleading health information on social media, difficulty determining whether social media health information is true or false, perceived echo-chamber exposure, and HPV vaccine awareness among U.S. adults. Methods We analyzed nationally representative Health Information National Trends Survey data using survey-weighted descriptive statistics and logistic regression models. The analytic sample included 2,371 respondents, representing a weighted population of 49.2 million U.S. adults. The outcome was HPV vaccine awareness. Primary predictors included perceived exposure to false or misleading health information on social media, difficulty determining whether social media health information was true or false, and perceived same-view health network exposure on social media. Models adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, household income, rurality, and Census division. Results Overall, 60.37% of respondents reported HPV vaccine awareness. Most respondents reported encountering false or misleading health information on social media, with 45.57% reporting "some" and 32.83% reporting "a lot." In unadjusted models, greater perceived exposure to false or misleading health information was associated with higher odds of HPV vaccine awareness. After adjustment, respondents reporting "some" false or misleading health information had significantly higher odds of HPV vaccine awareness compared with those reporting none (AOR=2.40, 95% CI: 1.06-5.43), while the association for "a lot" was marginal (AOR=2.29, 95% CI: 0.97-5.38). Difficulty identifying true versus false social media health information and perceived echo-chamber exposure were associated with HPV vaccine awareness in unadjusted models but were attenuated after adjustment. HPV vaccine awareness was substantially higher among females and respondents with higher educational attainment, and lower among Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian, and non-Hispanic other respondents compared with non-Hispanic White respondents. Conclusions HPV vaccine awareness is associated with both digital health information exposure and persistent sociodemographic inequities. Greater perceived exposure to misleading health information may reflect broader engagement with health-related content on social media, where accurate and inaccurate information coexist. Public health communication strategies should address misinformation vulnerability while expanding accurate, culturally responsive HPV vaccine messaging across digital platforms.

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Generative AI avatar videos for tobacco prevention on social media: a randomized controlled trial

Merl, N. B.; Wies, C.; Schramm, F.; Winterstein, J. T.; Chanda, T.; Brinker, T. J.

2026-06-24 public and global health 10.64898/2026.06.22.26356232 medRxiv
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Short-form video platforms increasingly shape how young audiences encounter health information. Generative artificial intelligence can produce standardized avatar-based messages at scale, but randomized evidence for tobacco prevention is scarce. In this three-arm randomized online intervention study with pre-post assessment, participants aged 16 years or older were assigned to an AI avatar video emphasizing short-term smoking consequences, an AI avatar video presenting long-term cancer-related information matched to an American Cancer Society fact sheet, or the same fact sheet in written form. The primary outcome was post-intervention intention to avoid smoking and secondhand smoke exposure, adjusted for baseline intention. Among 400 randomized participants, 272 had complete data for the primary baseline-adjusted analysis. Intention increased from baseline to post-intervention in all conditions, with no statistically significant between-group differences. These findings support AI avatar videos as a scalable, social-media-compatible format for digital tobacco prevention, while not establishing superiority or equivalence.